Adam Wainwrights hybrid JAWS of 41.6 is a fair amount behind that of Dwight Gooden, and closing a 6.4 point gap is going to be a tall order. Brooklyn-based Jay Jaffe is a senior writer for FanGraphs, the author of The Cooperstown Casebook (Thomas Dunne Books, 2017) and the creator of the JAWS (Jaffe WAR Score) metric for Hall of Fame analysis. 2020 has given us many. But the Cardinals and the pitcher Cardinals changed the schedule for his first start; Flaherty threw on the backfields instead. Next, select your favourite teams and leagues and well show you their latest news and scores in the My Favourites section of the home page. Its available on your preferred podcast platform. King Felix is still just 31 years old, despite close to 2,500 innings on his right arm. An Alternate Hall of Fame populated by a mathematical formula. Gerrit Cole (117 wins at age 31) and Chris Sale (114 wins at age 32) are the likeliest active pitchers to approach Wainwrights total. Adam Wainwright is the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher since Bob Gibson, and arguably the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher in history other than Bob Gibson. Theyll defer. As his 136 OPS+ and 26 homers attest, he can still rake even at age 40, but with 443 career dingers, hes two seasons away from reaching 500 (42% odds, via ZiPS). Of course, Wainwright and the Cardinals gave it the nothing to see here treatment. Nelson Cruz, right field (42.2 career | 30.1 Peak | 36.1 JAWS, +1.3 JAWS). Your email address will not be published. No ones winning 300 games again, probably, Maybe there will be a couple guys that have a chance Claytons got a chance, Max maybe. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright's Hall of Fame chances could be dampened by circumstances out of his control. No Gavin Lux -- big problem. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. 163-103, 3.40 ERA, 2,125 strikeouts, 122 adjusted ERA. Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. Adam Wainwright Hall of Fame. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. But Wainwright still had good value because he supplied 192 innings. Your email address will not be published. As for R-JAWS, hes entered the top 20, but as he approaches both his 34th birthday and free agency, the question of how many more years hell be trusted to handle the ninth inning looms. St. Louis Cardinals news fromFanSided Daily, Former San Francisco Giants third baseman Pablo Sandoval heading to LBPRC, Aroldis Chapmans time with New York Yankees comes to inglorious end, Wild Card wrap-up: Mets, Cardinals regular-season paper tigers, Opening Odds for MLB Division Series (Every Team's Odds to Win the ALDS, NLCS), St. Louis Cardinals: Oli Marmol's perfect quote about Wild Card Game 2, Phillies-Cardinals: Bryce Harper wants just 1 thing from Yadier Molina, Decision points: The key moments from Friday's MLB Wild Card games. All of the starters have a JAWS of at least 42.0; roughly speaking, thats the equivalent of seven six-win seasons, a point at which I start to take mid-career pitchers seriously. . St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) sits in the dugout during the second inning of a baseball game between the Cardinals and the Pirates on Thursday, April, 7, 2022, at. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. A couple of guys are sore but its OK, everything is fine, nothing to worry about, dont know why the media is making a fuss over this, were just being careful, just holding the pitcher back by a day to be on the safe side, hes looking great, hes getting his work in, theres no need to push it. Adam Wainwright Archives - Cooperstown Cred However, their overall record forced the Cards to play a Wild Card series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies. Albert Pujols, Yadier Molina and Adam Wainwright are back together, and they will start Opening Day together for the first time since 2009 on Thursday. We always prefer to go the surgery route as the last possible resort. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. Is Adam Wainwright Hall of Fame or Hall of Very good? . Bernie On The Cardinals: Wainwright and Flaherty In Spring Training I wouldnt expect Wainwright to be at his best at this stage. Even if he does that, hes well short of the JAWS standard or even the 55.7 career WAR of David Ortiz, plus he has the stigma of his 2013 PED suspension to overcome. The contact rate against him on pitches in the strike zone last season 91 percent was the highest against him during his 17-season MLB career. For this dispatch, Ill first turn my attention to the pitchers, then backtrack to cover a handful of others position players and pitchers in a more lightning-round fashion. 122-66, 3.24 ERA, 1,621 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. This is a question that has been frequently raised throughout the season as the Cardinals' 'Big Three' (Pujols, Wainwright, Molina) were constantly praised by St. Louis fans. 55 votes, 66 comments. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. The 35-year-old has a career record of 169-89 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 2,682 strikeouts. The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder. Zack Greinke has had an interesting career. He was merely a good pitcher on the Detroit Tigers, vastly overshadowed by teammate Justin Verlander. Adam Wainwright Position: Pitcher Bats: Right Throws: Right 6-7 , 230lb (201cm, 104kg) Team: St. Louis Cardinals (majors) More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 3x All-Star 2006 World Series 2x Gold Glove Silver Slugger 60 50 Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. It is not as though a 6.4 WAR season alone would do the trickwhile this would put Wainwright over 50 bWAR and at 56.4 fWAR (assuming he hit 6.4 on both metrics), the impact on Wainwrights peak would be much smaller, since he was reasonably good in his seventh best season under both metrics (3.0 bWAR, 3.9 fWAR). He produced the worst set of metrics in a full season in his career. I sincerely hope Flaherty is fine and that theres no reason for concern. Its early, its the process, hell be ready to go when its time to go. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing . Press release: Cardinals announce 2022 promotions schedule - MLB.com But what is particularly interesting to examine with regards to Wainwright is that if Wainwright were elected, he would not even be close to the worst starting pitcher in Cooperstown. What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame induction? Guerrero had an RBI single during the first inning in his lone at-bat. Conn: It's time to slow down on the Cardinals Hall of Fame Actually, its two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick. When he calls it a career, Wainwright won't be a serious contender for baseball's Hall of Fame, unlike Molina. At least not for starting pitchers. St. Louis Cardinals: Will Adam Wainwright get a retirement tour? It hasnt moved him very far in the JAWS rankings, but hes nonetheless seventh among active pitchers behind Greinke, the injured Justin Verlander (60.8), Kershaw, Scherzer, and two other pitchers whove effectively taken zeroes in 2020 and 21, Cole Hamels (48.4) and Flix Hernndez (44.3). But is 40-year-old Adam Wainwright starting for the visiting Cardinals against the Dodgers in the winner-take-all tilt also on his way to joining Scherzer in the Hall of Fame? Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day, The 2022 St. Louis Cardinals and the next generational passage St. Louis Bullpen. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). By checking this box, I agree to the terms of service and privacy policy of Rogers Media. Are there baseball seasons good enough to get Adam Wainwright past Dwight Gooden? deGrom has already racked up significant value even while qualifying for the ERA title only five times in eight seasons. Heres hoping this isnt the start of a Ken Griffey Jr.-like slog through the second half of his career. Central Cincinnati Reds first baseman Joey Votto headlines the list of players in the National League West who are on track to have a chance to make it into baseball's Hall of Fame. As a result, Ive chosen not to include him on this article. Keep your fingers crossed, St. Louis fans.. Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. However, per his stats, it would not be surprising if he is inducted in his first year of eligibility. There is a trio of starting pitchers not yet Hall-eligible who rank somewhere between Gooden and WainwrightFlix Hernndez, Cole Hamels, and Chris Sale. Always ranking QBs. The only active pitchers behind Wainwright (2,375 2/3) in the 2,000-inning club are 36-year-old David Price (2,103 1/3), 35-year-old Johnny Cueto (2,034 1/3) and 32-year-old Madison Bumgarner (2,034). Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright reaches 2,000 career strikeouts A similarly impressive 2022 and perhaps 2023, though upon signing a one-year extension with the Cardinals last week, Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season added to his 2017-14 peak would nudge him ever closer to a Cooperstown-worthy body of work and at the least underline the kind of company hes already keeping. The slugger hit .274 with 32 homers and 97 RBIs in 160 games last year. The starting pitcher, who will enter his 19th season with the Cards, was drafted by the Atlanta Braves. Even so, five catchers including the younger and still-productive Buster Posey outrank him in the framing-inclusive version of my metric, and with an 80 wRC+ and 0.7 fWAR this year, plus plans to retire after 2022, he might not even catch Russell Martin (49.1) or Joe Mauer (49.3) in the rankings. Hes got three seasons of 3.0 WAR or less as part of his peak score and has a good shot at continuing his big strides in the next few years. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. JAWS and peak (WAR7) gains are the major drivers of this, but positional standards, traditional milestones, and ordinal rankings are considerations as well. Todays pitcher will make it more for efficiency. There are some people that feel Wainwright will join his legendary teammates in Cooperstown at some point in time, a trio of Hall of Famers all departing the Cardinals at the same time. DRS changes, injuries, and the shortened season have dealt the slugging third basemans case a set of blows in recent years, making it even harder to overcome his late start. Required fields are marked *. The three Cy Young Awards should be enough to get him into the Hall of Fame. He was the MVP of the 2014 World Series after two dominant starts and then five scoreless innings off the bench in Game 7, and hes been a key contributor to three championship teams. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. 100-70, 2.99 ERA, 1,409 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. But if youd told me four years ago when his career looked absolutely left for dead that I would even half-heartedly entertain the notion, I would have doubted that even more. Adam Wainwright on Jason Isringhausen entering Cardinals Hall of Fame Sabathia has largely been a disappointment since signing a nine-figure extension with the team, and he likely wont be retained when his contract expires after this season. Or follow @seeingredpod on Twitter for a direct link. Although Gooden was one-and-done when he reached the ballot in 2006, his extraordinary peak meant he probably deserved more of a look. The two were teammates from 2005-07, and Rolen was out at third base when Wainwright recorded the final out of the 2006 World Series for the St. Louis Cardinals.. Wainwright could become the sixth to add the Hall of Fame to their resume. This is a veteran, and he knows what he needs to do. He probably wont gain much more ground this year even assuming he does return, and as with the pitchers on either side of him in this list, free agency looms, though it seems unthinkable the Dodgers will let him depart. For now, all eyes are on Flaherty and Wainwright. Winnowing the 180/2,000/3.40/350/2,300 field down to just wild card-era pitchers makes for an even more exclusive group: Wainwright, Scherzer, Verlander, Kershaw, Clemens plus Hall of Famers Greg Maddux, Randy Johnson, Roy Halladay and Pedro Martinez. Halladay and Martinez combined to win five Cy Youngs had more dominant peaks than Wainwright, but their status as first-ballot Hall of Famers serve as evidence the electorate is already modifying its standards for Hall-worthy starting pitchers. Even if he retired now, Verlander has likely done enough to ensure a plaque in Cooperstown. He had a 4.99 ERA in his last 11 starts in 2022 including a 7.22 ERA in his final six starts. Poll : Should Adam Wainwright be in the Hall of Fame? Its Wainwrights final MLB season before retirement, and (mostly) anything goes. Hes never pitched for a World Series champion, and his career postseason statistics wont help him hes 2-8 with a 5.54 ERA, and hes gotten completely shelled on multiple occasions. Information from The Associated Press was used in this report. 2nd stage: Everything is still on track. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals' visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004. The ageless Bartolo Colon leads all active pitchers with 235, CC Sabathia is next at 230, and then its down to John Lackey at 180. That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . Saturday marked the end of an era for the St. Louis Cardinals. He just turned 30 on August 7, and hes already fifth in JAWS and third in peak among center fielders, but this has been largely a lost year due to a right calf strain thats already required the longest recovery time in at least six years. Adam Wainwright was glad to see Jason Isringhausen enter the Cardinals Hall of Fame: "He had a profound impact on my career and helped me dramatically." Wainwright, 40, who has played for the Cardinals since reaching the majors in 2005, is a three-time All-Star and twice led the National League in wins (2009 and 2013). He was hit hard four balls hit off him registered exit velocities higher than 104 mph, including a 112.1 mph solo moonshot of a homer off the bat of Jos Abreu. Even having covered the progress of 17 mid- and late-career players in these two installments, there are a handful who have posted JAWS gains that would fit on the leaderboards and about whom people have questions regarding their Hall progress. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. While wins arent everything, Ive chosen to list them chronologically by career win total as a benchmark of evaluation. At least hes in better shape than 31-year-old Freddie Freeman (41.8/32.1/37.0, +1.5 JAWS), who only recently surpassed last years 3.3 WAR. Adam Wainwright is not a Hall of Famer yet. Wainwrights candidacy as an elite pitcher of his time should strengthen during the five years between his retirement and his first appearance on a Hall of Fame ballot. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. 230-143, 3.70 ERA, 2,788 strikeouts, 117 adjusted ERA. Upon losing in the Wild Card round, the franchise's attention shifted to the offseason and what will happen to some of their aging players. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. He had one brother, Trey, who was seven years his senior. Please contact us. The key number regarding Gooden is 48.0, which is the average of his career bWAR, his bWAR7, his career fWAR, and his fWAR7. It's an ex-Chip's Worldand we're just picking up the pieces. One Wainwright is a lot closer to establishing than perhaps even he realizes. The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. I think Hall of Fame credentials might change a bit, Wainwright said. Opinion | Is Adam Wainwright a Hall of Famer? - KSDK.com Still, hes won 230 games, led the league in wins twice, and won a Cy Young award and a World Series ring. 156-111, 3.18 ERA, 2,286 strikeouts, 126 adjusted ERA. FASTBALLS JET ACROSS the baseball atmosphere in this era, booming into catchers' mitts at 100 mph or faster, and amid that sound of speed, there is Adam Wainwright's curveball. Wainwright has certainly had a long and successful career, but has it been enough to warrant enshirement in the Hall of Fame? March 2, 2023 | 00:00:10. Adam Wainwright, however, is a little bit trickier. Guerrero is on the Dominican Republic roster for this months World Baseball Classic. Adam Wainwright in 2021 His lifetime ERA is 3.35 and has dropped nearly a tenth of a point over the last two seasons. The secret to Adam Wainwright's success? A curveball like none other He threw two no-hitters in the same season and tied the major league record with 20 strikeouts in a nine-inning game. After doing some [strength] assessments, its something he can solve. He, of course, can retract this, but as he is now in his 40s, Im inclined to believe hes serious. He leads MLB in complete games this season at the age of 40, and is MLB's active leader in complete games with 27. Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? Hes made two starts this spring, covering five total innings. His cutter was next, dropping from his 2022 average of 84.3 mph to 80.8 mph, and his curveball decreased from 72.9 mph to 70.2 mph.. ago. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburghs Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. Thats an average of 174 innings per year. Wins may not matter as much these days, but his 195 wins would make him just the seventh player to be inducted as a starting pitcher with fewer than 200 victories. Bernie has hosted radio shows in St. Louis, Dallas, Baltimore and Washington D.C. Bernie, his wife Kirsten and their cats reside in the Skinker-DeBaliviere neighborhood of St. Louis. Its a shame because he was off to a great start to his season, with 1.9 WAR and a 195 OPS+ in just 36 games. This may not seem particularly grandiose, and probably not even close to Cooperstown worthiness, but it should be noted that with sixty-five elected, starting pitcher is far and away the most commonly enshrined position in the Hall (it has also, pre-bullpen expansion, been the most common position, so this shouldnt be too surprising). Adam Wainwright Contract, Stats, Hall of Fame, Age, Jersey . Terms of Service. A frequently cited statistic for determining Hall worthiness is the average production of a Hall of Famer at that position, though my preferred approach is to consider a players worthiness not according to the average at a position among a subset of players who are sometimes transcendent and sometimes unworthy, but rather to ask, Is this guy the (fill in ordinal number of Hall of Famers at position) best (fill in position) ever? By Hybrid JAWS, Yadier Molina is the 13th greatest catcher of all-time (two of the ones ahead of him, Buster Posey and Joe Mauer, are not yet Hall-eligible), and there are sixteen catchers in the Hall of Fame. 132-72, 3.34 ERA, 2,005 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. In his final inning, Wainwright didnt touch higher than 85 mph. His 2.2 WAR, meanwhile, edged him closer to the career standard (73.3). Flahertys exhibition-season debut was supposed to happen Saturday, but now the assignment has been switched to Sunday. The Cardinals and starting pitching and injuries. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. Jansens 30 saves have pushed him to 14th on the all-time list, five away from the next rung and 26 away from cracking the top 10. His 133 OPS+ is a step down from his 201218 prime (146), but his .493 SLG is his best since leaving Arizona. Ten Position Players Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in No harm. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. Hes even seen somewhat of a career resurgence after struggling from 2014-2015, he rebounded to lead the AL in strikeouts in 16. Injury? All Wins Above Replacement and Wins Above Average data comes . Hell need more to get his name in the HOF conversation, namely multiple Cy Young award victories and a pivotal role in a Boston World Series championship. Listen to the Seeing Red podcast on the Cardinals, featuring Will Leitch and Miklasz. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. In the five innings Wainwright yielded eight hits and four earned runs for a 7.20 ERA. I highly doubt it. Flaherty is calm. Scott Rolen signs his name into history, calls Cardinals a 'catapult Adam Wainwright biography. What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's left behind. But, while neither was young, per se, by baseball standards (it was deGroms age-30 season and Scherzers age-33), there is a big leap to get to Adam Wainwrights age-40 season which looms ahead. Adam Wainwright answers if he thinks he's a Hall of Famer | Foul Heres what Bowden wrote: Mozeliak was cautious in his comments and reminded me that the right-hander threw only 36 innings last year. He became a member of the Cardinals when the Atlanta Braves traded him for J.D. You may have created an account with another Rogers Media account that can be used to sign in here. Waino certainly isn't a National Hall of Famer, but there is an argument for the Cardinals Hall of Fame for sure. He posted a 195-117 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.216 WHiP, striking out 2147 batters with 695 walks in his 2567.1 innings. Sale went two years and a day between major league outings due to elbow inflammation, a flexor tendon strain, and Tommy John surgery, but hes made a solid return so far, with a 2.53 ERA and 27.9% strikeout rate through four starts. Of course, theres no prorating stats when it comes to evaluating Hall of Fame candidates, and so Wainwright appeared to be in the company of the likes of Roy Oswalt Wainwrights most similar pitcher per Baseball-Reference.com Cliff Lee and former teammate Chris Carpenter as pitchers who had terrific peaks but lacked the length for serious Cooperstown consideration. Even if he is able to reach the 200 win threshold, will Wainwright find himself enshrined in the Baseball Hall of Fame? When Adam Wainwright decides to hang up his cleats, the St.. Heres a report on Wainwrights Thursday start against the Astros from The Athletics Katie Woo: The velocity on all five of the pitches in his mix averaged between 3-4 mph slower than their average readings in 2022. Adam Wainwright has a big decision to make this offseason. He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011. Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. NeverSober1900. He is known for being a Baseball Player. His 195 career wins have him tied for 132nd all-time, and his career strikeouts currently have him sitting 71st all-time. Sabermetrics lover. What injury? Yadier Molina, catcher (58.1 career fWAR (incl. Pitching to a 3.66 ERA and 4.45 FIP, hes produced a respectable 2.2 WAR, though hes still 0.6 points below the JAWS standard. Covering the latest and most controversial news around the world of sports, heavily centered on the Philadelphia Eagles and National Football League.
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